Mexico City GP forecast: dry Sunday, brief Friday rain risk

RacingNews365 expects mostly settled conditions for the 2026 Mexico City Grand Prix, with a brief rain threat on Friday afternoon. Sunday’s race is forecast to be sunny and dry at 24°C.

Friday’s first practice is forecast at 21–23°C, with sunny intervals and a gentle northerly breeze. FP2 could reach 26°C and carries a higher chance of rain than the rest of the weekend, but showers are considered unlikely and the session is expected to stay dry.

Saturday’s FP3 is expected at 20–21°C under sunny skies, with a gentle northerly wind. Qualifying is forecast at 25°C with sunshine; the wind should be stronger than in final practice but remain gentle.

The Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez sits more than 2,200 metres above sea level, where thinner air reduces downforce and increases strain on cooling systems and turbochargers. Pirelli has nominated its softest three compounds, C3, C4 and C5. With stable, dry conditions expected, RacingNews365 says teams should be able to focus on degradation and graining rather than weather-driven changes in grip.